How the Russian invasion of Ukraine would look?
- Posted on February 14, 2022
- Featured
- By Faith Tiza
How the Russian invasion of Ukraine would look?
Russia is adamant that it has no plans to strike
Ukraine, and foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin has slammed the US and
Western countries for spreading "destructive lies."
However, because Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014 and
occupied its territory, the threat is being regarded seriously.
Brief
background of how it all started: Ties between Russia and
Ukraine are referred to as Russia–Ukraine relations. The two countries are
currently at odds: the Russo-Ukrainian War broke out in 2014, following
Russia's annexation of Crimea from Ukraine.
Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991,
the successor governments' bilateral relations have been marked by ties,
tensions, and open hostility. Ukraine's strategy in the early 1990s was
characterized by aspirations for sovereignty and independence, followed by a
foreign policy that balanced collaboration with the EU, Russia, and other large
polities.
Back to what is happening now: The Secretary-General
of NATO warns that the threat of violence is extremely real. The United States
claims that a Russian invasion might occur at any time, but it has no knowledge
that President Vladimir Putin has made his decision.
What
is Russia's motivation for threatening Ukraine?
Russia has long opposed Ukraine's accession to
European institutions, including NATO and the European Union. Its main demand
today is for the West to guarantee that Ukraine would not join Nato, a
30-nation defensive alliance.
What
is Russia's motivation for joining NATO?
In recasting its relationship with NATO, Russia has
spoken of a "moment of truth." "It is an essential necessity for
us to ensure that Ukraine never, ever joins NATO," stated Deputy Foreign Minister
Sergei Ryabkov.
President Putin stated that if Ukraine joined Nato,
the alliance would attempt to reclaim Crimea.
The North Atlantic Cooperation Council was formed in 1991 to establish relations between the NATO military alliance and the Russian Federation. Russia joined NATO's Partnership for Peace program in 1994, and the two sides have subsequently inked several key cooperation agreements.
In 2002, the Russia–NATO Council was formed to deal with security problems and collaborative initiatives. Fighting terrorism, military cooperation, Afghanistan cooperation (including transportation by Russia of non-military International Security Assistance Force freight (see NATO logistics in the Afghan War), and fighting local drug production), industrial cooperation, and weapons non-proliferation are all areas where Russia and NATO are cooperating now.
What
are Russia's intentions in relation to Ukraine?
Russia seized Crimea, claiming a historic claim to the
territory. Ukraine was a member of the Soviet Union, which fell apart in
December 1991, and Mr. Putin referred to it as "historic Russia's
breakup."
Last year, President Putin gave a clue to his thoughts
on Ukraine when he termed Russians and Ukrainians "one nation" in a
lengthy piece. He called Ukraine's present authorities "anti-Russian
project leaders."
Many Western governments have urged their nationals to
flee Ukraine, and some countries have begun to withdraw observers from the
OSCE, the European security organization.
General Mark Milley, President Biden's senior military
officer, has warned that the Russian forces' size would result in a substantial
number of casualties and that battle in urban areas would be horrendous.
For months, the United States and its Western allies
have watched as Kremlin forces steadily increased along Ukraine's border with
Russia and Belarus. The enhanced military presence is similar to Russia's
strategy before the illegal annexation of Crimea, a peninsula on the Black Sea,
in 2014, which sparked international outrage and led to sanctions against
Moscow.
Top Pentagon officials warned last month that the
fallout from a Russian invasion of Ukraine would be "horrific."
"Given the type of troops arrayed, the ground
maneuver forces, artillery, ballistic missiles, and air forces, everything is
packed together." If something were to be unleashed on Ukraine, it would
be huge, very serious, and result in a significant number of casualties,"
US Army Gen. Mark Milley, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters
at the Pentagon on Jan. 28.
An estimated 100,000 Russian troops have been
stationed near Ukraine's frontiers, with another 30,000 training in Belarus,
which shares a 1,084-kilometer (674-mile) border with Ukraine.
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